เปรียบเทียบวิธี

	แบบจำลอง ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)	N-HiTS	PatchTST
สาขาวิชา	เศรษฐมิติ	การเรียนรู้เชิงลึก	การเรียนรู้เชิงลึก
ตระกูล	Regression model	Machine learning	Machine learning
ปีกำเนิด	2015	2023	2023
ผู้ริเริ่ม	Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)	Challu, C. et al.	Nie, Y. et al.
ประเภท	Univariate time-series model	Deep neural forecasting (hierarchical interpolation)	Transformer for time series forecasting
แหล่งต้นตำรับ	Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021	Challu, C. et al. (2023). NHITS: Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting. AAAI.	Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR.
ชื่อเรียกอื่น	Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli	N-HiTS — Hiyerarşik İnterpolasyon Tahmini, NHITS, Neural Hierarchical Interpolation	PatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformer
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง	5	3	3
สรุป	ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).	N-HiTS (Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting), introduced by Challu and colleagues in 2023, is a deep neural forecasting architecture that combines the hierarchical forecasts of multiple stacks operating at different sampling rates and merges them through interpolation. It extends N-BEATS to deliver markedly better accuracy on long forecast horizons.	PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.