เปรียบเทียบวิธี

	แบบจำลอง ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)	PatchTST
สาขาวิชา	เศรษฐมิติ	การเรียนรู้เชิงลึก
ตระกูล	Regression model	Machine learning
ปีกำเนิด	2015	2023
ผู้ริเริ่ม	Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)	Nie, Y. et al.
ประเภท	Univariate time-series model	Transformer for time series forecasting
แหล่งต้นตำรับ	Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021	Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR.
ชื่อเรียกอื่น	Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli	PatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformer
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง	5	3
สรุป	ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).	PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.