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การสร้างแบบจำลองเชิงเอเจนต์ (ABM)×เลขจำนวนการแพร่เชื้อ (R0 และ Rt)×แบบจำลอง SEIR×
สาขาวิชาการจำลองระบาดวิทยาระบาดวิทยา
ตระกูลProcess / pipelineRegression modelRegression model
ปีกำเนิด1970s–1990s (formalized as a field)19901991
ผู้ริเริ่มThomas Schelling and Robert Axelrod (foundational contributions, 1970s–1990s)Diekmann, Heesterbeek & MetzKermack & McKendrick; Anderson & May
ประเภทComputational simulation methodThreshold parameter for epidemic spreadDeterministic compartmental ODE model
แหล่งต้นตำรับAxelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. DOI ↗Diekmann, O., Heesterbeek, J. A. P., & Metz, J. A. J. (1990). On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 28(4), 365–382. link ↗Anderson, R. M., & May, R. M. (1991). Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 978-0-19-854040-3
ชื่อเรียกอื่นABM, Ajan Tabanlı Modelleme (ABM), multi-agent simulation, individual-based modelingBasic Reproduction Ratio, Effective Reproduction Number, Net Reproduction Number, Temel Üreme SayısıSusceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered Model, SEIR Compartmental Model, Latent Period Epidemic Model, SEIR Bulaşıcı Hastalık Modeli
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง523
สรุปAgent-based modeling (ABM) is a computational simulation method, formalized through the work of Thomas Schelling and Robert Axelrod in the 1970s–1990s, that simulates the behavior of complex systems by specifying and running autonomous agents — individuals, firms, cells, or any bounded entity — whose local interactions with each other and with their environment collectively produce global, system-level patterns that could not be predicted from any single agent's rules alone.The basic reproduction number R0 is the expected number of secondary infections produced by a single infectious individual introduced into a fully susceptible population. Formally defined and computationally grounded by Diekmann, Heesterbeek, and Metz in 1990 using the next-generation matrix approach, R0 serves as the central threshold parameter in mathematical epidemiology: if R0 > 1, an epidemic can establish itself; if R0 < 1, the outbreak dies out. The effective reproduction number Rt extends this to partially immune or partially susceptible populations over time.The SEIR model is a deterministic compartmental model that partitions a closed population into four epidemiological states: Susceptible (S), Exposed (E), Infectious (I), and Recovered (R). It extends the classic SIR framework by explicitly incorporating a latent period during which individuals have been infected but are not yet infectious. The model was systematically formalized by Anderson and May (1991) and remains a cornerstone of mathematical epidemiology for diseases with non-negligible incubation periods.
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ScholarGateเปรียบเทียบวิธี: Agent-Based Modeling · Reproduction Number · SEIR Model. สืบค้นเมื่อ 2026-06-18 จาก https://scholargate.app/th/compare