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Regression modelEconometrics / time series

Muundo wa Modelu ya MWazo ya Kujenga Upya (Structural Break MA Model)

Modelu ya mfululizo wa muda ya Mfumo wa Wastani (MA) iliyoongezwa ili kukidhi mapumziko moja au zaidi ya muundo — mabadiliko ya ghafla katika wastani, utofauti, au vigezo vya MA yanayotokea kwa tarehe za mapumziko zinazojulikana au hazijulikani. Kupuuza mapumziko ya muundo katika mchakato wa MA huongeza makosa ya utabiri na hupotosha dhana kuhusu mienendo ya makosa.

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Vyanzo

  1. Perron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica, 57(6), 1361–1401. DOI: 10.2307/1913712
  2. Zivot, E., & Andrews, D. W. K. (1992). Further evidence on the great crash, the oil-price shock, and the unit-root hypothesis. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(3), 251–270. DOI: 10.1080/07350015.1992.10509904

Jinsi ya kunukuu ukurasa huu

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Moving Average Model with Structural Breaks. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sw/econometrics/structural-break-ma-model

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ScholarGateStructural Break MA Model (Moving Average Model with Structural Breaks). Imepatikana 2026-06-15 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/econometrics/structural-break-ma-model · Seti ya data: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026