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Regression modelEconometrics / time series

Modeli ya ARMA (Autoregressive Moving Average)

Modeli ya ARMA(p,q) huelezea mfululizo wa nyakati ulio tulivu kama mchanganyiko wa vipengele viwili: sehemu ya kiotomatiki inayotegemea thamani ya sasa kwa maadili yake p yaliyopita, na sehemu ya wastani wa kusonga inayohusisha vipindi q vya makosa yaliyopita. Ni mfumo msingi wa mbinu ya Box-Jenkins kwa ajili ya kuunda mfululizo wa nyakati wa kipekee na kutabiri kwa muda mfupi.

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Vyanzo

  1. Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link
  2. Brockwell, P. J., & Davis, R. A. (2002). Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting (2nd ed.). Springer. ISBN: 978-0387953519

Jinsi ya kunukuu ukurasa huu

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Autoregressive Moving Average Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sw/econometrics/arma-model

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Imerejelewa na

ScholarGateARMA model (Autoregressive Moving Average Model). Imepatikana 2026-06-15 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/econometrics/arma-model · Seti ya data: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026