Interrupted Time Series in Crime Analysis
Interrupted time series (ITS) analysis evaluates whether a law, policy, or intervention changed the course of a crime series. By modeling the level and slope of crime before and after a dated 'interruption' — a gun-control law, a policing crackdown, a sentencing reform — it tests whether the series jumped or bent at that moment relative to its prior trend. Box and Tiao formalized intervention analysis in 1975, and McDowall, McCleary, and colleagues brought the method to criminology in their widely used 1980 monograph.
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Ingia kwa akaunti ya bure ili kusoma sehemu hii.
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Vyanzo
- McDowall, D., McCleary, R., Meidinger, E. E., & Hay, R. A. (1980). Interrupted Time Series Analysis. Sage Publications. ISBN: 9780803914933
- Box, G. E. P., & Tiao, G. C. (1975). Intervention analysis with applications to economic and environmental problems. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 70(349), 70–79. DOI: 10.1080/01621459.1975.10480264 ↗
Jinsi ya kunukuu ukurasa huu
ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Interrupted Time Series Analysis of Crime Policy Interventions. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sw/criminology/interrupted-time-series-crime
Mbinu ipi?
Weka mbinu hii kando ya jamaa zake wa karibu na uzisome bega kwa bega — maktaba huweka vitabu mezani; uamuzi ni wako.
- Crime Displacement and Diffusion AnalysisCriminology↔ linganisha
- Crime Prediction ModelingCriminology↔ linganisha
- Deterrence AnalysisCriminology↔ linganisha
- Uchanganuzi wa Mfululizo wa Wakati Uliokatizwa (ITS)Uhitimisho wa Kisababishi↔ linganisha
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