Linganisha mbinu
Pitia mbinu ulizochagua bega kwa bega; safu zinazotofautiana zinaangaziwa.
| TGARCH Imara× | Muundo wa ARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Nyanja | Ekonometriki | Ekonometriki |
| Familia | Regression model | Regression model |
| Mwaka wa asili≠ | 1994–2000s | 1982 |
| Mwanzilishi≠ | Zakoian (1994) for TGARCH; robust extensions developed through quasi-maximum likelihood and M-estimation literature | Robert F. Engle |
| Aina≠ | Volatility model with asymmetry and robust estimation | Conditional volatility model |
| Chanzo asilia≠ | Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ |
| Majina mbadala | robust GJR-GARCH, robust threshold GARCH, heavy-tail TGARCH, outlier-robust TGARCH | ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model |
| Zinazohusiana | 6 | 6 |
| Muhtasari≠ | Robust TGARCH extends the Threshold GARCH model by replacing the conventional maximum likelihood objective with an estimator that is resistant to heavy-tailed innovations and outlying observations. It captures asymmetric volatility responses — where negative shocks amplify variance more than positive shocks — while remaining reliable when the return distribution deviates strongly from normality. | The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering. |
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