Linganisha mbinu
Pitia mbinu ulizochagua bega kwa bega; safu zinazotofautiana zinaangaziwa.
| Modeli wa GARCH (Utabiri wa Msukosuko)× | Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)× | Urejeshaji wa Njia ya Viwango Vidogo vya Kawaida (OLS)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nyanja | Ekonometriki | Ekonometriki | Ekonometriki |
| Familia | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Mwaka wa asili≠ | 1986 | 1991 | 2019 |
| Mwanzilishi≠ | Tim Bollerslev | Nelson | Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares |
| Aina≠ | Conditional volatility model | Conditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant) | Linear regression |
| Chanzo asilia≠ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗ | Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860 |
| Majina mbadala | GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini) | exponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH | ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu |
| Zinazohusiana≠ | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Muhtasari≠ | The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series. | EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance. | Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). |
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