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Linganisha mbinu

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Conflict Recurrence Analysis×State Capacity Measurement×Uchambuzi wa Uhai×
NyanjaInternational RelationsInternational RelationsTakwimu za Utafiti
FamiliaSurvival analysisProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Mwaka wa asili200420101958
MwanzilishiCivil-war recurrence literature (e.g., Barbara F. Walter)State-capacity literature; measurement synthesis by Cullen HendrixEdward L. Kaplan and Paul Meier
AinaSurvival/repeated-events analysis of renewed conflictMeasurement of the state's ability to penetrate, extract, and enforceMethod
Chanzo asiliaWalter, B. F. (2004). Does conflict beget conflict? Explaining recurring civil war. Journal of Peace Research, 41(3), 371–388. DOI ↗Hendrix, C. S. (2010). Measuring state capacity: Theoretical and empirical implications for the study of civil conflict. Journal of Peace Research, 47(3), 273–285. DOI ↗Kaplan, E. L., & Meier, P. (1958). Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 53(282), 457–481. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaRecurring Civil War Analysis, Conflict Relapse Analysis, Repeated-Conflict Survival Analysis, Conflict Recidivism AnalysisMeasuring State Capacity, State Strength Measurement, Bureaucratic and Fiscal Capacity Measures, State Capacity IndicatorsKaplan-Meier analysis, Cox regression, TTE analysis
Zinazohusiana333
MuhtasariConflict recurrence analysis studies why and when conflicts that have ended return, treating renewed war as a time-to-event outcome. Most civil wars in recent decades have occurred in countries with a prior war, making recurrence a central puzzle. Using survival and repeated-events models — as in Barbara Walter's (2004) analysis of recurring civil war — researchers model the hazard that a post-conflict country relapses into violence as a function of how the war ended and the underlying conditions, while accounting for the fact that the same country can experience multiple conflict spells.State capacity measurement is the effort to quantify how able a state is to do the things states do — raise revenue, administer territory, and enforce its will — a variable central to explaining civil conflict, development, and governance. Because capacity is abstract, researchers operationalize it through observable indicators of fiscal, bureaucratic, and coercive strength. Hendrix (2010) systematically compared fifteen common operationalizations, using factor analysis to show that they reduce to a few underlying dimensions, and clarified which measures best capture the capacity relevant to conflict.Survival analysis is a collection of statistical methods for modeling time from a defined starting point until an event of interest occurs (disease, recovery, death, equipment failure). Kaplan and Meier's nonparametric estimator (1958) and David Cox's proportional hazards model (1972) jointly enabled analysis of censored data—individuals whose event times are unknown because they left the study or were still event-free at follow-up. Indispensable in oncology, cardiology, infectious disease research, engineering reliability, and any field where time-to-event matters.
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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: Conflict Recurrence Analysis · State Capacity Measurement · Survival Analysis. Imepatikana 2026-06-25 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare