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Autoregressiv modell för betingad heteroskedasticitet (ARCH-modell)×DCC-GARCH-modellen (Dynamic Conditional Correlation)×EGARCH-modellen (Exponential GARCH)×
ÄmnesområdeEkonometriEkonometriEkonometri
FamiljRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Ursprungsår198220021991
UpphovspersonRobert F. EngleRobert F. EngleDaniel B. Nelson
TypConditional volatility modelMultivariate volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance model
UrsprungskällaEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
AliasARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCCExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
Närliggande656
SammanfattningThe ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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ScholarGateJämför metoder: ARCH model · DCC-GARCH model · EGARCH model. Hämtad 2026-06-19 från https://scholargate.app/sv/compare