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Model SARIMA sa vremenski promenljivim parametrima (TVP-SARIMA)×Model stanja prostora (Kalmanov filter)×
OblastEkonometrijaEkonometrija
PorodicaRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka1990s1990
TvoracHarvey, A. C.; Durbin, J. & Koopman, S. J. (state-space framework)Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
TipTime-varying state-space modelState space time series model
Temeljni izvorHarvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 9780521321969Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviTVP-SARIMA, time-varying SARIMA, state-space SARIMA, adaptive SARIMAstate space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
Srodne44
SažetakThe Time-Varying Parameter SARIMA model extends the classical SARIMA framework by allowing autoregressive and moving-average coefficients to evolve over time. Cast as a state-space system and estimated with the Kalman filter, it captures both seasonal patterns and structural change within a single unified model.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: Time-varying parameter SARIMA model · State Space Model. Preuzeto 2026-06-17 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare