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Robusni model pokretnog proseka (MA)×Robust ARIMA Model×
OblastEkonometrijaEkonometrija
PorodicaRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka1979–20091986–1993
TvoracDenby & Martin (1979); Muler, Pena & Yohai (2009)Tsay (1986); Chen & Liu (1993)
TipRobust time series modelRobust time series model
Temeljni izvorDenby, L., & Martin, R. D. (1979). Robust estimation of the first-order autoregressive parameter. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(365), 140–146. DOI ↗Tsay, R. S. (1986). Time series model specification in the presence of outliers. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81(393), 132–141. DOI ↗
Drugi nazivirobust MA, robust moving average, M-estimation MA, bounded-influence MArobust ARIMA, outlier-resistant ARIMA, robust time series estimation, ARIMA with outlier detection
Srodne64
SažetakThe Robust MA model applies robust estimation — typically M-estimation or bounded-influence methods — to the Moving Average time series model. By replacing the ordinary least squares loss with a bounded loss function, it produces parameter estimates that are far less sensitive to outliers, additive noise spikes, or heavy-tailed error distributions than the classical Gaussian MA.Robust ARIMA extends the classical ARIMA framework to detect and correct the influence of outliers and structural breaks during estimation. By jointly identifying anomalous observations and re-estimating model parameters, it produces coefficient estimates and forecasts that are far less distorted by isolated shocks or data errors than standard ARIMA.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: Robust MA model · Robust ARIMA model. Preuzeto 2026-06-15 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare