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Regresija MIDAS: Prognoziranje na osnovu mešovitih učestalosti podataka×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Model dinamičkih faktora×
OblastEkonometrijaEkonometrijaEkonometrija
PorodicaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka200720152002
TvoracEric Ghysels, Arthur Sinko & Rossen ValkanovBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)James Stock & Mark Watson
TipParametric mixed-frequency forecasting modelUnivariate time-series modelLatent-factor time-series model
Temeljni izvorGhysels, E., Sinko, A., & Valkanov, R. (2007). MIDAS regressions: Further results and new directions. Econometric Reviews, 26(1), 53–90. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (2002). Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(2), 147–162. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviMixed Frequency Regression, Mixed Data Sampling Model, High-Frequency Forecasting Regression, MIDAS RegresyonuBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliDiffusion Index Model, Large-Scale Factor Model, Approximate Factor Model, Dinamik Faktör Modeli
Srodne352
SažetakMIDAS (Mixed Data Sampling) Regression is an econometric framework that directly incorporates high-frequency predictors into models for lower-frequency outcome variables without requiring temporal aggregation of the regressors. Introduced by Eric Ghysels, Arthur Sinko, and Rossen Valkanov in 2007, MIDAS uses parsimoniously parameterized lag polynomials — such as the Beta or Exponential Almon weighting schemes — to summarize the information content of many high-frequency lags while avoiding parameter proliferation.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).A Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) extracts a small number of latent common factors from a large panel of economic time series and uses those factors to forecast or nowcast a target variable. Formalized for macroeconomic forecasting by James Stock and Mark Watson in their 2002 Journal of Business & Economic Statistics paper, DFMs handle hundreds of indicators simultaneously while avoiding the curse of dimensionality that plagues traditional multivariate models.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: MIDAS Regression · ARIMA · Dynamic Factor Model. Preuzeto 2026-06-17 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare