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Component GARCH×GARCH-MIDAS×Kvantilni VAR (Quantile VAR)×
OblastEkonometrijaEkonometrijaEkonometrija
PorodicaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka199920122006
TvoracEngle and LeeEngle and GhyselsKoenker and Xiao
TipDecomposed variance modelTime-varying variance modelDistribution impulse response
Temeljni izvorEngle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗Engle, R. F., & Ghysels, E. (2012). GARCH for long memory. Journal of Econometrics, 164(2), 385-391. link ↗Koenker, R., & Xiao, Z. (2006). Quantile autoregression. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 101(475), 980-990. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviVolatility components modelMixed-frequency volatility modelQuantile-based impulse response
Srodne333
SažetakComponent GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.GARCH-MIDAS decomposes volatility into short-term (GARCH) and long-term (MIDAS) components, allowing low-frequency macroeconomic variables to drive medium-term volatility while high-frequency returns govern daily fluctuations. Introduced by Engle and Ghysels (2012), this framework elegantly separates volatility time scales. The approach is powerful for understanding how macro conditions (growth, inflation) drive risk premia and for improved volatility forecasting.Quantile VAR estimates impulse responses of multivariate systems conditional on different quantiles of the distribution, revealing how shocks propagate heterogeneously across the conditional distribution. Introduced by Koenker and Xiao (2006) and applied to risk measurement by White et al. (2015), it reveals tail behavior and contagion effects invisible to mean-based VAR analysis. This is essential for risk management and understanding how crises propagate differently than normal times.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: Component GARCH · GARCH-MIDAS · Quantile VAR. Preuzeto 2026-06-18 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare