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Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Granger-ov test kauzaliteta×
OblastEkonometrijaEkonometrija
PorodicaRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka20151969
TvoracBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Clive W. J. Granger
TipUnivariate time-series modelTime-series predictive causality test
Temeljni izvorBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi
Srodne55
SažetakARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: ARIMA · Granger Causality. Preuzeto 2026-06-18 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare