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Vektori Autoregresiv Bayesian (BVAR)×Regresioni me Mënyrën më të Vogël të Katrorëve (OLS)×VAR me prag dhe VAR me tranzicion të butë (TVAR / STVAR)×
FushaEkonometriEkonometriEkonometri
FamiljaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Viti i origjinës198620191998
KrijuesiLitterman (1986); Bańbura, Giannone & Reichlin (2010)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresTsay (multivariate threshold modelling)
LlojiBayesian multivariate time-series modelLinear regressionNonlinear multivariate time-series model
Burimi themeluesLitterman, R. B. (1986). Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 4(1), 25-38. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI ↗
Emërtime të tjeraBVAR, Bayesian vector autoregression, Minnesota prior VAR, Bayesian VAR (BVAR)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuTVAR, STVAR, regime-switching VAR, threshold VAR
Të lidhura555
PërmbledhjaBayesian VAR adds Minnesota or other prior distributions to a vector autoregressive model to control over-parameterisation. Introduced by Litterman (1986) and extended to high dimensions by Bańbura, Giannone and Reichlin (2010), it outperforms classical VAR on short series and high-dimensional macroeconomic forecasts.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Threshold VAR and Smooth-Transition VAR are nonlinear multivariate time-series models in which the coefficients of a vector autoregression switch between regimes according to a threshold variable. Building on Tsay's 1998 treatment of multivariate threshold models, they capture different dynamic structures across phases such as the business cycle, financial crises, or policy differences.
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ScholarGateKrahasoni metodat: Bayesian VAR · OLS Regression · Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR. Marrë më 2026-06-19 nga https://scholargate.app/sq/compare