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Bayesovský TGARCH (prahový GARCH s Bayesovským odhadom)×Bayesovský GARCH model×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometria
RodinaRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku1994 / 20081989–2000
TvorcaZakoian (1994) for TGARCH; Bayesian estimation formalized by Ardia (2008)Geweke (1989); further developed by Nakatsuma (2000) and Bauwens & Lubrano (1998)
TypVolatility model with asymmetric threshold and Bayesian inferenceBayesian volatility model
Pôvodný zdrojZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗Geweke, J. (1989). Exact predictive densities for linear models with ARCH disturbances. Journal of Econometrics, 40(1), 63–86. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyBayesian TGARCH, Bayesian GJR-GARCH, Threshold GARCH with Bayesian estimation, TGARCH-BBayesian GARCH, BGARCH, GARCH with Bayesian inference, Bayesian volatility model
Príbuzné64
ZhrnutieBayesian TGARCH combines the Threshold GARCH volatility model — which captures the asymmetric response of volatility to positive versus negative shocks — with full Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. The result is a principled, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling leverage effects and fat-tailed financial returns.The Bayesian GARCH model combines the GARCH framework for time-varying volatility with Bayesian posterior inference. Instead of maximising a likelihood, it specifies prior distributions for the GARCH parameters and draws from the resulting posterior — typically via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) — to quantify both point estimates and full uncertainty about volatility dynamics.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: Bayesian TGARCH · Bayesian GARCH model. Získané 2026-06-17 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare