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Bayesovský test jednotkovej odmocniny ADF×Bayesovský model vektorovej korekcie chýb (Bayesian VECM)×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometria
RodinaRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku1991–19922002–2005
TvorcaSims & Uhlig (1991); Koop, Osiewalski & Steel (1992)Kleibergen & Paap; Villani
TypBayesian hypothesis testBayesian multivariate time series model
Pôvodný zdrojSims, C. A., & Uhlig, H. (1991). Understanding unit rooters: A helicopter tour. Econometrica, 59(6), 1591–1599. DOI ↗Kleibergen, F., & Paap, R. (2002). Priors, posteriors and Bayes factors for a Bayesian analysis of cointegration. Journal of Econometrics, 111(2), 223–249. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyBayesian ADF test, Bayesian unit root test, Bayesian Dickey-Fuller, BADFBayesian VECM, B-VECM, Bayesian cointegrated VAR, Bayesian vector error correction
Príbuzné65
ZhrnutieThe Bayesian Augmented Dickey-Fuller (BADF) unit root test re-frames the classical ADF test within a Bayesian framework. Rather than computing a frequentist p-value, it quantifies evidence for or against a unit root by comparing posterior probabilities or Bayes factors under the null (unit root) and alternative (stationarity) hypotheses, incorporating prior beliefs about the autoregressive parameter.The Bayesian VECM combines the classical Vector Error Correction Model — which captures both short-run dynamics and long-run cointegrating relationships among non-stationary multivariate time series — with Bayesian prior distributions over the cointegrating rank and coefficient matrices. This allows principled uncertainty quantification, incorporation of economic theory as priors, and coherent inference even in small samples.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: Bayesian ADF unit root test · Bayesian VECM. Získané 2026-06-17 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare