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Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×DeepAR×
OdborEkonometriaHlboké učenie
RodinaRegression modelMachine learning
Rok vzniku20152020
TvorcaBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Salinas, D., Flunkert, V. & Gasthaus, J. (Amazon)
TypUnivariate time-series modelAutoregressive recurrent neural network (probabilistic forecasting)
Pôvodný zdrojBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Salinas, D., Flunkert, V., Gasthaus, J. & Januschowski, T. (2020). DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networks. International Journal of Forecasting, 36(3), 1181–1191. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliDeepAR — Olasılıksal RNN Tahmini, probabilistic autoregressive RNN forecasting, Amazon DeepAR
Príbuzné55
ZhrnutieARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).DeepAR is Amazon's industrial forecasting model, introduced by Salinas, Flunkert and Gasthaus (2017; published 2020), that uses an autoregressive recurrent neural network to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution at each step, producing a confidence interval rather than a single point forecast. It can model many related time series jointly within one model.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: ARIMA · DeepAR. Získané 2026-06-18 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare