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Модель скользящего среднего (MA) со структурным разрывом×Модель скользящего среднего (MA)×
ОбластьЭконометрикаЭконометрика
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Год появления1989–19921970
Автор методаPerron (1989); Zivot & Andrews (1992)Box and Jenkins
ТипTime series model with structural changeLinear time series model
Основополагающий источникPerron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica, 57(6), 1361–1401. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744
Другие названияMA model with structural change, broken MA model, MA with regime shift, structural break moving averageMA model, MA(q) process, moving-average process, Box-Jenkins MA
Связанные55
СводкаA Moving Average (MA) time series model augmented to accommodate one or more structural breaks — abrupt shifts in the mean, variance, or MA coefficients occurring at known or unknown break dates. Ignoring structural breaks in an MA process inflates forecast errors and distorts inference on the error dynamics.The Moving Average model of order q — written MA(q) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear combination of the current and past random shocks (innovations). Unlike the AR model which uses lagged values of the series itself, the MA model uses lagged error terms, making it well-suited for capturing short-lived disturbances that dissipate over q periods.
ScholarGateНабор данных
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Structural Break MA Model · Moving Average Model. Получено 2026-06-17 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare