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Модель Марковских переключений режимов (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×Векторная авторегрессия (VAR)×
ОбластьЭконометрикаЭконометрика
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Год появления19891980
Автор методаHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Christopher A. Sims
ТипRegime-switching time series modelMultivariate time-series model
Основополагающий источникHamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
Другие названияregime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
Связанные55
СводкаThe Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Markov-Switching Model · Vector Autoregression. Получено 2026-06-17 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare