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GJR-GARCH (Асимметричный GARCH)×Модель ARIMA (авторегрессионная интегрированная скользящая средняя)×Экспоненциальный GARCH (EGARCH)×
ОбластьЭконометрикаЭконометрикаЭконометрика
СемействоRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Год появления199320151991
Автор методаGlosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994)Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Nelson
ТипAsymmetric conditional volatility modelUnivariate time-series modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
Основополагающий источникGlosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
Другие названияasymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle)Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeliexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
Связанные554
СводкаGJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994).ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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ScholarGateСравнение методов: GJR-GARCH · ARIMA · EGARCH. Получено 2026-06-20 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare