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Модель ARCH (авторегрессионная условная гетероскедастичность)×Модель EGARCH (Экспоненциальная GARCH)×
ОбластьЭконометрикаЭконометрика
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Год появления19821991
Автор методаRobert F. EngleDaniel B. Nelson
ТипConditional volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance model
Основополагающий источникEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
Другие названияARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
Связанные66
СводкаThe ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
ScholarGateНабор данных
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение методов: ARCH model · EGARCH model. Получено 2026-06-17 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare