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Compară metode

Examinează metodele selectate una lângă alta; rândurile care diferă sunt evidențiate.

Model MA cu Ruptură Structurală×Modelul Mediei Mobile (MA)×
DomeniuEconometrieEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Anul apariției1989–19921970
Autorul originalPerron (1989); Zivot & Andrews (1992)Box and Jenkins
TipTime series model with structural changeLinear time series model
Sursa seminalăPerron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica, 57(6), 1361–1401. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744
Denumiri alternativeMA model with structural change, broken MA model, MA with regime shift, structural break moving averageMA model, MA(q) process, moving-average process, Box-Jenkins MA
Înrudite55
RezumatA Moving Average (MA) time series model augmented to accommodate one or more structural breaks — abrupt shifts in the mean, variance, or MA coefficients occurring at known or unknown break dates. Ignoring structural breaks in an MA process inflates forecast errors and distorts inference on the error dynamics.The Moving Average model of order q — written MA(q) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear combination of the current and past random shocks (innovations). Unlike the AR model which uses lagged values of the series itself, the MA model uses lagged error terms, making it well-suited for capturing short-lived disturbances that dissipate over q periods.
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  1. v1
  2. 2 Surse
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateCompară metode: Structural Break MA Model · Moving Average Model. Preluat la 2026-06-15 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare