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Model GARCH Robust×Modelul ARCH (Autoregresiv Conditional Eteroskedastic)×Model EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×
DomeniuEconometrieEconometrieEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Anul apariției1986–201319821991
Autorul originalBoudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)Robert F. EngleDaniel B. Nelson
TipVolatility modelConditional volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance model
Sursa seminalăBoudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
Denumiri alternativeRobust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility modelARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
Înrudite566
RezumatThe Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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ScholarGateCompară metode: Robust GARCH model · ARCH model · EGARCH model. Preluat la 2026-06-18 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare