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Modelul ARCH Robust×Modelul ARCH (Autoregresiv Conditional Eteroskedastic)×Regresia cuantilică×
DomeniuEconometrieEconometrieEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Anul apariției2002–200819821978
Autorul originalEngle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sRobert F. EngleKoenker & Bassett
TipVolatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelConditional volatility modelConditional quantile regression
Sursa seminalăEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Denumiri alternativerobust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Înrudite665
RezumatThe Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateCompară metode: Robust ARCH model · ARCH model · Quantile Regression. Preluat la 2026-06-18 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare