Compară metode

	Regresia prin metoda celor mai mici pătrate ordinare (OLS)	Regresia Poisson și binomială negativă	Metoda Theta
Domeniu	Econometrie	Econometrie	Econometrie
Familie	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
Anul apariției	2019	1998	2000
Autorul original	Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares	Cameron & Trivedi (textbook treatment); Hilbe (negative binomial)	Assimakopoulos & Nikolopoulos
Tip	Linear regression	Generalized linear model for count data	Univariate time-series forecasting model
Sursa seminală	Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860	Cameron, A. C. & Trivedi, P. K. (1998). Regression Analysis of Count Data. Cambridge University Press.	Assimakopoulos, V. & Nikolopoulos, K. (2000). The Theta Model: A Decomposition Approach to Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 16(4), 521-530.
Denumiri alternative	ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu	count regression, log-linear count model, negative binomial regression, Poisson / Negatif Binom Regresyon	theta model, theta forecasting, Theta Yöntemi — M3 Tahmin Yarışması Birincisi
Înrudite	5	4	4
Rezumat	Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).	Poisson regression is a generalized linear model for count outcomes — events tallied as non-negative integers such as hospital admissions, accidents, or article counts. It models the log of the expected count as a linear function of the predictors, and is developed in the standard count-data treatment of Cameron and Trivedi (1998); when the counts are over-dispersed, the closely related negative binomial model (Hilbe, 2011) is preferred.	The Theta Method is a univariate time-series forecasting model introduced by Assimakopoulos and Nikolopoulos in 2000. It decomposes a series into two theta lines that capture its long-run trend and its short-run dynamics, forecasts each line separately, and combines them by a weighted average. Its simplicity and accuracy made it the winner of the M3 forecasting competition.