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Modelo ARIMA com Quebra Estrutural×Teste de Múltiplas Quebras Estruturais de Bai-Perron×
ÁreaEconometriaEconometria
FamíliaRegression modelHypothesis test
Ano de origem1989-19981998
Autor originalPerron (1989); extended by Bai & Perron (1998)Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron
TipoTime series model with regime detectionSequential hypothesis test for multiple structural breaks
Fonte seminalBai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47-78. DOI ↗Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗
Outros nomesARIMA with structural breaks, break-adjusted ARIMA, piecewise ARIMA, ARIMA with regime shiftsBai-Perron Multiple Break Test, Multiple Structural Change Test, Sequential Structural Break Test, Çoklu Yapısal Kırılma Testi
Relacionados32
ResumoA structural break ARIMA model extends the standard ARIMA framework by explicitly identifying and accommodating one or more abrupt shifts in the level, trend, or dynamics of a time series. Rather than forcing a single set of ARIMA parameters across the entire sample, it fits separate ARIMA specifications for each regime defined by the detected break dates.The Bai-Perron test, introduced by Jushan Bai and Pierre Perron in their landmark 1998 Econometrica paper, is a least-squares-based procedure for detecting, estimating, and testing the number of structural breaks in a linear regression model estimated on time-series data. Unlike single-break tests, it simultaneously identifies multiple change-points in a sample, providing economists and empirical researchers with a rigorous, data-driven way to locate parameter instability across time.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: Structural Break ARIMA Model · Bai-Perron Test. Recuperado em 2026-06-17 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare