Comparar métodos

	Análise de Impacto Causal com Dados em Painel	Método de Controle Sintético para Dados em Painel
Área	Inferência causal	Inferência causal
Família	Regression model	Regression model
Ano de origem	2015 (base method); panel extension mid-2010s	2010
Autor original	Brodersen et al. (2015); panel extension by Holtz et al. and subsequent literature	Alberto Abadie, Alexis Diamond & Jens Hainmueller
Tipo	Bayesian structural time-series causal inference	Causal inference / panel data
Fonte seminal	Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274.	Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505.
Outros nomes	Panel CausalImpact, multi-unit causal impact, panel BSTS causal inference, panel structural time-series causal analysis	SCM panel, panel synthetic control, synthetic control estimator, comparative case study
Relacionados	6	5
Resumo	Panel data causal impact analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series approach of Brodersen et al. (2015) to multi-unit panel settings, estimating the counterfactual for several treated units simultaneously using control units as a donor pool. It produces credible intervals for the causal effect at each post-intervention time point, aggregated across units and periods.	The panel data synthetic control method estimates the causal effect of an intervention on a single treated unit by constructing a data-driven weighted combination of untreated units — a synthetic control — that best reproduces the treated unit's pre-treatment outcome trajectory. The post-treatment gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart is the estimated treatment effect.