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Modelo ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Regressão Bayesiana×
ÁreaEconometriaBayesiano
FamíliaRegression modelBayesian methods
Ano de origem2015
Autor originalBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
TipoUnivariate time-series modelBayesian linear model
Fonte seminalBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955
Outros nomesBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modelibayesian linear regression, probabilistic regression, bayesian regresyon
Relacionados52
ResumoARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).Bayesian regression is a probabilistic version of linear regression that treats the model parameters as uncertain quantities. Instead of returning a single best-fit estimate, it combines prior knowledge with the observed data to produce a full posterior probability distribution for each parameter, from which credible intervals and predictions are read off.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: ARIMA · Bayesian Regression. Recuperado em 2026-06-18 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare