Bayesian Competing Risks Analysis

Bayesian competing risks analysis is a time-to-event method for settings where subjects can fail from more than one mutually exclusive cause — such as death from cancer versus death from cardiovascular disease — and prior knowledge or small-sample uncertainty makes a Bayesian framework advantageous. It extends classical competing risks models (cause-specific hazards and cumulative incidence functions) by placing probability distributions over unknown parameters and updating those distributions with observed data, yielding full posterior inference for each failure type.