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Test kointegracji Engle'a-Grangera×Model ARIMA (Autoregresyjny Zintegrowany Model Średniej Ruchomej)×
DziedzinaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodzinaRegression modelRegression model
Rok powstania19871970
TwórcaRobert F. Engle and Clive W. J. GrangerGeorge Box and Gwilym Jenkins
TypCointegration testTime series forecasting model
Źródło pierwotneEngle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
Inne nazwyEG cointegration test, Engle-Granger two-step method, residual-based cointegration test, EG testARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
Pokrewne56
PodsumowanieThe Engle-Granger two-step method tests whether two or more non-stationary I(1) time series share a common stochastic trend — that is, whether a linear combination of them is stationary. If cointegration is confirmed, an error-correction model (ECM) can be estimated to capture both short-run dynamics and long-run equilibrium adjustment.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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