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Conditional Value-at-Risk (Expected Shortfall)×ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) Model×
VakgebiedFinancieringEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Jaar van ontstaan20002015
GrondleggerRockafellar & Uryasev (2000); Acerbi & Tasche (2002)Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
TypeCoherent tail-risk measureUnivariate time-series model
Oorspronkelijke bronRockafellar, R. T. & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk. Journal of Risk, 2(3), 21-41. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
AliassenCVaR, expected shortfall, average value-at-risk, tail VaRBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
Verwant55
SamenvattingConditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), also called Expected Shortfall, is a coherent tail-risk measure that quantifies the conditional expectation of losses beyond the Value-at-Risk threshold. It was introduced for optimization by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002), and it has replaced VaR as the regulatory standard under Basel III/IV.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
ScholarGateGegevensset
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ScholarGateMethoden vergelijken: Conditional Value-at-Risk · ARIMA. Geraadpleegd op 2026-06-17 via https://scholargate.app/nl/compare