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ARIMA model×Chow-test voor structurele breuk×
VakgebiedEconometrieEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Jaar van ontstaan19701960
GrondleggerGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsGregory C. Chow
TypeTime series forecasting modelTest for structural break in regression coefficients
Oorspronkelijke bronBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Chow, G. C. (1960). Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions. Econometrica, 28(3), 591–605. DOI ↗
AliassenARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)Chow breakpoint test, structural break test, Chow yapısal kırılma testi
Verwant62
SamenvattingThe ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.The Chow test, introduced by Gregory Chow in 1960, checks whether the coefficients of a linear regression are the same across two subsamples — that is, whether a structural break occurs at a known point such as a policy change, crisis, or regime shift. It compares the fit of a single pooled regression with the combined fit of two separate regressions; a large improvement from splitting indicates the relationship differs between the two periods or groups.
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ScholarGateMethoden vergelijken: ARIMA model · Chow Test. Geraadpleegd op 2026-06-18 via https://scholargate.app/nl/compare