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Model ARIMA Tak Linear

Model ARIMA Tak Linear memperluas kerangka kerja ARIMA Box-Jenkins klasik dengan membolehkan min bersyarat siri masa bergantung pada nilai-nilai lalu dan ralat-ralat lalu melalui fungsi tak linear. Ia merangkumi keluarga seperti Threshold AR (TAR/SETAR), Smooth Transition AR (STAR/LSTAR/ESTAR), dan model Markov-switching, yang menangkap dinamik asimetri, perubahan rejim, dan asimetri kitaran perniagaan yang tidak dapat diwakili oleh ARIMA linear.

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Sumber

  1. Tong, H. (1990). Non-Linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780198522249
  2. Terasvirta, T. (1994). Specification, estimation, and evaluation of smooth transition autoregressive models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89(425), 208-218. link

Cara memetik halaman ini

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Nonlinear Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/ms/econometrics/nonlinear-arima-model

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ScholarGateNonlinear ARIMA model (Nonlinear Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model). Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/econometrics/nonlinear-arima-model · Set data: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026