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Value at Risk (VaR)×Simulasi Monte Carlo×
BidangKewanganPembuatan Keputusan
KeluargaRegression modelMCDM
Tahun asal20071949
PengasasJorion (textbook benchmark); popularised by RiskMetrics / J.P. MorganMetropolis, N., Ulam, S.
JenisFinancial risk measureRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
Sumber perintisJorion, P. (2007). Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk (3rd ed.). McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0071464956Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
AliasVaR, value-at-risk, delta-normal VaR, historical simulation VaR
Berkaitan50
RingkasanValue at Risk is a financial risk measure that estimates the maximum loss a position or portfolio could suffer over a fixed holding period at a given confidence level. It is the standard benchmark in risk management and regulatory capital calculations, developed in the textbook tradition of Jorion (2007) and the Basel market-risk framework.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Value at Risk · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare