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Model TGARCH (Threshold GARCH)×Model GARCH (Peramalan Volatiliti)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1993-19941986
PengasasZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)Tim Bollerslev
JenisAsymmetric volatility modelConditional volatility model
Sumber perintisZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
AliasThreshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Berkaitan65
RingkasanThe Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: TGARCH model · GARCH Model. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare