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TAR / SETAR: Autoregresi Ambang untuk Siri Masa Peralihan Rejim×Model Autoregresif Peralihan Licin (STAR)×Regresi Ambang Batas×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal199019942000
PengasasHowell TongTeräsvirta (1994); van Dijk, Teräsvirta & Franses (2002)Bruce E. Hansen
JenisNonlinear time-series model with regime switchingNonlinear time-series regime-switching modelNonlinear regime-switching regression
Sumber perintisTong, H. (1990). Non-linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 978-0-19-852300-6Teräsvirta, T. (1994). Specification, Estimation, and Evaluation of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89(425), 208–218. DOI ↗Hansen, B. E. (2000). Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation. Econometrica, 68(3), 575-603. DOI ↗
AliasThreshold Autoregression, Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregression, SETAR Model, Eşik Otoregresyonsmooth transition autoregressive model, LSTAR, ESTAR, logistic STARthreshold model, regime-switching regression, sample splitting model, Eşik Değer Regresyonu (Threshold Regression)
Berkaitan245
RingkasanTAR and SETAR are nonlinear autoregressive models introduced by Howell Tong (1990) that allow a time series to follow different linear dynamics in distinct regimes, separated by one or more threshold values. SETAR is the self-exciting variant, in which the threshold variable is a lagged value of the series itself, making it particularly suited to cycles, asymmetric adjustment, and limit-cycle behavior observed in economic and financial data.The Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model is a nonlinear time-series model, developed in Teräsvirta's 1994 framework, that lets the dynamics move smoothly rather than abruptly between two regimes. The logistic variant (LSTAR) captures asymmetric business cycles and the exponential variant (ESTAR) captures purchasing-power-parity deviations.Threshold regression is a nonlinear, regime-switching model in which the regression parameters take different values above and below an estimated threshold value of a threshold variable. The sample-splitting and threshold-estimation framework was developed by Bruce E. Hansen (2000) and is widely used for time-series and panel data with structural breaks and regime-dependent relationships.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: TAR / SETAR · STAR Model · Threshold Regression. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare