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Model Penjanaan Autoregresif Teragih Tak Linear (Robust NARDL) yang Mantap×Ujian Sempadan ARDL (Ujian Sempadan Pesaran)×Regresi Kuasa Dua Terkecil Biasa (OLS)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal2014–2020s20012019
PengasasExtension of Shin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) NARDL framework with robust (outlier-resistant) estimationPesaran, Shin & SmithWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
JenisNonlinear time-series regression with robust estimationCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelLinear regression
Sumber perintisShin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt (pp. 281–314). Springer. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
AliasRobust Nonlinear ARDL, Outlier-Robust NARDL, Robust Asymmetric ARDL, R-NARDLPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
Berkaitan345
RingkasanRobust NARDL marries the asymmetric cointegration framework of Shin, Yu, and Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) with outlier-resistant estimation. It decomposes a regressor into positive and negative partial sums, tests for asymmetric long-run relationships via a bounds test, and replaces the OLS criterion with an M- or MM-estimator to guard against leverage points and additive outliers common in macroeconomic and financial time series.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Robust NARDL · ARDL Bounds Test · OLS Regression. Dicapai 2026-06-17 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare