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Model ARMA Teguh×Model ARMA (Autoregresif Moving Average)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal19861970
PengasasMartin & Yohai (1986); broader robust time series literatureGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
JenisRobust time series modelTime series model
Sumber perintisFranses, P. H., & Ghijsels, H. (1999). Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(1), 1-9. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
Aliasrobust ARMA, outlier-robust ARMA, M-estimator ARMA, resistant ARMA estimationARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)
Berkaitan55
RingkasanThe Robust ARMA model extends the classical Autoregressive Moving Average framework by replacing the sensitive least-squares loss with outlier-resistant estimation methods — typically M-estimators or median-based approaches. This protects coefficient estimates and forecasts from being distorted by additive outliers, level shifts, or innovational outliers that are common in economic and financial time series.The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Robust ARMA Model · ARMA model. Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare