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Penilaian Dasar Siri Masa Terganggu×Analisis Siri Masa Terganggu (ITS)×
BidangInferens KausalInferens Kausal
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal1975 (intervention analysis); 2000s–2010s (policy evaluation framing)2002
PengasasBox & Tiao (1975); popularised for policy by Shadish, Cook & Campbell (2002) and Bernal et al. (2017)Wagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
JenisQuasi-experimental causal designQuasi-experimental segmented regression
Sumber perintisBernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
AliasITS for policy evaluation, policy ITS, segmented regression for policy, policy impact ITSITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
Berkaitan45
RingkasanInterrupted Time Series (ITS) for policy evaluation uses routinely collected aggregate time-series data to estimate the causal impact of a policy change. A segmented regression model splits the series at a known intervention date, estimating both an immediate level shift and a change in trend attributable to the policy — without requiring a randomised control group.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Policy Evaluation Interrupted Time Series · Interrupted Time Series. Dicapai 2026-06-19 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare