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Model Peralihan Rejim Markov (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×Regresi Kuasa Dua Terkecil Biasa (OLS)×Model Regresi Autoruang (VAR)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal198920192005
PengasasHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
JenisRegime-switching time series modelLinear regressionMultivariate time-series model
Sumber perintisHamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
Aliasregime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Berkaitan554
RingkasanThe Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Markov-Switching Model · OLS Regression · VAR Model. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare