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| Model HAR-RV bagi Volatiliti Terealisasi× | Model GARCH (Peramalan Volatiliti)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Bidang≠ | Kewangan | Ekonometrik |
| Keluarga | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tahun asal≠ | 2009 | 1986 |
| Pengasas≠ | Fulvio Corsi | Tim Bollerslev |
| Jenis≠ | Linear time-series regression for volatility | Conditional volatility model |
| Sumber perintis≠ | Corsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174–196. DOI ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | HAR-RV, heterogeneous autoregressive realized volatility, Corsi HAR model, HAR-RV Modeli (Heterogeneous Autoregressive Realized Volatility) | GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini) |
| Berkaitan | 5 | 5 |
| Ringkasan≠ | The HAR-RV model, introduced by Fulvio Corsi in 2009, forecasts realized volatility by decomposing it into daily, weekly, and monthly components. It is a simple linear regression that mirrors how market participants with different investment horizons react to volatility, and it naturally captures the long-memory behaviour of volatility. | The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series. |
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