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Model GARCH (Peramalan Volatiliti)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×Regresi Kuasa Dua Terkecil Biasa (OLS)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal198619912019
PengasasTim BollerslevNelsonWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
JenisConditional volatility modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Linear regression
Sumber perintisBollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
AliasGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)exponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
Berkaitan545
RingkasanThe Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: GARCH Model · EGARCH · OLS Regression. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare