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ETS: Penghalusan Eksponen Ralat, Tren, Bermusim×Regresi Kuasa Dua Terkecil Biasa (OLS)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal20082019
PengasasHyndman, Koehler, Ord & Snyder (state space framework)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
JenisExponential smoothing state space modelLinear regression
Sumber perintisHyndman, R. J., Koehler, A. B., Ord, J. K. & Snyder, R. D. (2008). Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach. Springer. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
Aliasexponential smoothing state space model, innovations state space model, Holt-Winters family, ETS — Hata/Trend/Mevsimsellik Üstel Düzleştirmeordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
Berkaitan55
RingkasanETS is a comprehensive exponential smoothing framework that automatically selects additive or multiplicative combinations of the error (E), trend (T) and seasonal (S) components of a time series. Formalised as an innovations state space model by Hyndman, Koehler, Ord and Snyder in 2008, it unifies and generalises the Holt-Winters family of forecasting methods.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: ETS Model · OLS Regression. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare