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Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×Pemerataan Eksponensial Mudah dan Berganda (SES / Holt)×Regresi Kuasa Dua Terkecil Biasa (OLS)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal199119572019
PengasasNelsonRobert G. Brown (SES); Charles C. Holt (linear trend)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
JenisConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Exponential smoothing forecasting modelLinear regression
Sumber perintisNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Brown, R. G. (1959). Statistical Forecasting for Inventory Control. McGraw-Hill. link ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
Aliasexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHSES, Holt's linear trend method, exponential smoothing forecasting, Basit ve Çift Üstel Düzleştirme (SES / Holt)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
Berkaitan435
RingkasanEGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.Exponential smoothing is a family of basic time-series forecasting models in which each new observation updates a smoothed estimate by a weighting parameter. Simple exponential smoothing (SES), introduced by Robert G. Brown in 1959, forecasts series with a stable level, while Holt's double exponential smoothing, introduced by Charles C. Holt in 1957, adds a trend term using the parameters alpha and beta.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: EGARCH · Exponential Smoothing · OLS Regression. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare