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Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×GJR-GARCH (GARCH Asimetri)×Model Peralihan Rejim Markov (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal199119931989
PengasasNelsonGlosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994)Hamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)
JenisConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Asymmetric conditional volatility modelRegime-switching time series model
Sumber perintisNelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗
Aliasexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHasymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle)regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR
Berkaitan455
RingkasanEGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.GJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994).The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: EGARCH · GJR-GARCH · Markov-Switching Model. Dicapai 2026-06-20 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare