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| Pemodelan Persamaan Struktur Bayesian (BSEM)× | Analisis Pengantaraan Kausal (Kesan Langsung dan Tidak Langsung Semula Jadi)× | Reka Bentuk Pecahan Regresi (RDD)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bidang≠ | Bayesian | Inferens Kausal | Inferens Kausal |
| Keluarga≠ | Bayesian methods | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tahun asal≠ | 2012 | 2010 | 2008 |
| Pengasas≠ | Bengt Muthén & Tihomir Asparouhov | Pearl (2001); general framework by Imai, Keele & Tingley (2010) | Imbens & Lemieux (guide to practice); Cattaneo, Idrobo & Titiunik (practical introduction) |
| Jenis≠ | Bayesian latent variable model | Counterfactual causal decomposition | Quasi-experimental causal design |
| Sumber perintis≠ | Muthén, B. & Asparouhov, T. (2012). Bayesian SEM: A More Flexible Representation of Substantive Theory. Psychological Methods, 17(3), 313–335. link ↗ | Pearl, J. (2001). Direct and Indirect Effects. In Proceedings of the Seventeenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI), 411-420. link ↗ | Imbens, G. W., & Lemieux, T. (2008). Regression Discontinuity Designs: A Guide to Practice. Journal of Econometrics, 142(2), 615-635. DOI ↗ |
| Alias≠ | BSEM, Bayesian latent variable model, approximate zero constraints SEM, Bayesçi Yapısal Eşitlik Modeli | natural direct effect, natural indirect effect, NDE / NIE decomposition, counterfactual mediation | RDD, regression discontinuity design, sharp RDD, fuzzy RDD |
| Berkaitan≠ | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Ringkasan≠ | Bayesian SEM, introduced by Muthén and Asparouhov in 2012, extends classical structural equation modeling by placing prior distributions on factor loadings, path coefficients, and covariances. Instead of returning a single maximum-likelihood estimate, it uses Markov chain Monte Carlo to produce a full posterior distribution for every parameter, enabling principled uncertainty quantification in models with latent variables. | Causal mediation analysis is a counterfactual framework that splits a treatment's total effect into a Natural Direct Effect (NDE) and a Natural Indirect Effect (NIE) that runs through a mediator. The modern general approach was formalised by Pearl (2001) and Imai, Keele and Tingley (2010), giving the decomposition a precise causal interpretation. | Regression Discontinuity Design is a quasi-experimental method that identifies a causal effect by locally comparing units just above and just below a cutoff on a continuous assignment (running) variable. Formalised for applied work by Imbens and Lemieux (2008) and developed as a practical framework by Cattaneo, Idrobo, and Titiunik (2020), it estimates a local average treatment effect (LATE) at the threshold. |
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