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Ujian Sempadan ARDL (Ujian Sempadan Pesaran)×Ujian Kausaliti Granger×Regresi Kuasa Dua Terkecil Biasa (OLS)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal200119692019
PengasasPesaran, Shin & SmithClive W. J. GrangerWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
JenisCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelTime-series predictive causality testLinear regression
Sumber perintisPesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
AliasPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testiordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
Berkaitan455
RingkasanThe ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: ARDL Bounds Test · Granger Causality · OLS Regression. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare