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Ujian ARCH-LM untuk Pengelompokan Volatiliti×Ujian Breusch-Pagan untuk Heteroskedastisitas×Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal198219791986
PengasasRobert F. EngleTrevor Breusch & Adrian PaganTim Bollerslev
JenisLagrange multiplier diagnostic test for conditional heteroscedasticityLagrange-multiplier test for heteroskedasticityConditional volatility model
Sumber perintisEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1007. DOI ↗Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1979). A simple test for heteroscedasticity and random coefficient variation. Econometrica, 47(5), 1287–1294. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327. DOI ↗
AliasARCH-LM Testi ve Volatilite Kümelenmesi Analizi, ARCH LM test, Engle's ARCH test, test for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticityBP test, Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey test, Lagrange multiplier test for heteroskedasticity, Breusch-Pagan değişen varyans testiGARCH(1,1), generalized ARCH, conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli
Berkaitan635
RingkasanThe ARCH-LM test is Robert Engle's (1982) Lagrange multiplier diagnostic for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in the residuals of a fitted time-series model. It checks whether the error variance changes over time and clusters into calm and turbulent periods, and it is the standard pre-test run before fitting a GARCH-family volatility model.The Breusch-Pagan test, introduced by Trevor Breusch and Adrian Pagan in 1979, is a Lagrange-multiplier test for heteroskedasticity — the condition where the variance of a regression's errors changes with the explanatory variables. It works by regressing the squared OLS residuals on candidate variables and checking whether they explain any of the residual variation, signalling that the constant-variance assumption is violated.GARCH is an econometric model for the time-varying volatility of financial time series, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986 as a generalisation of Engle's ARCH model. It treats the conditional variance as a function of past squared shocks and past variances, capturing the volatility clustering seen in returns.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: ARCH-LM Test · Breusch-Pagan Test · GARCH. Dicapai 2026-06-20 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare